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Outbound travel from Australia goes off the boil

June 6, 2017 Headline News No Comments Email Email

Outbound travel growth from Australia has flattened out to just 1% or less, the lowest level for some years – though travel to Singapore is running hot and Japan is doing well.

The current trend estimate for short-term resident departures during the month, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) is 1% higher than in March 2016. The longer-term trend appears to be downward.

Short-term resident departures during March 2017 (823,200 movements) decreased 0.3% compared with February 2017 (826,000 movements). This followed monthly decreases of 0.1% in January 2017 and 0.2% in February 2017.

When trend estimates for short-term resident departures for March 2016 and March 2017 are compared, the highest percentage increase was recorded for Singapore (13%), followed by Japan (6.7%), and Vietnam (5.8%).The highest percentage decreases were recorded for Indonesia (-10.6%), followed by Thailand (-3.1%) and the USA (-1.5%).

Short-term resident departures from July 2015 to March 2017. The black line shows the trend. ABS

Here are the winning and losing destinations during the month, arranged in number of travellers, in descending order. The percentage of rise or fall, in comparison with March 2016, is shown in brackets).

  • New Zealand (+4.6%)
  • Indonesia (-10.6%)
  • USA (-1.5%)
  • China (+3.2%)
  • Thailand (-3.1%)
  • Japan (+6.7%)
  • UK (+5.3%)
  • Singapore (+13%)
  • India (+2.6%)
  • Vietnam (+5.8%)

Seasonally adjusted estimates show that during March 2017, short-term resident departures (803,900 movements) decreased 3.2% compared with February 2017 (830,700 movements). This followed a monthly increase of 2.6% in January 2017 and a monthly decrease of 2.0% in February 2017.

Original estimates indicate there were 720,500 short-term resident departures from Australia in March 2017.

In trend terms, short-term resident departures from Australia during March 2017 (823,200 movements) decreased 0.3% when compared with February 2017 (826,000 movements). Currently, short-term resident departures are 1% higher than in March 2016.

Written by Peter Needham

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